Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers Prediction
· Palmerston Park
Match prediction
- Equal home and draw probabilities of 45 percent justify the double-chance advice, since the model sees little separation between the two outcomes.
- Queen of the South's defensive rating of 27 against Cove's 73 is the clearest split, supporting the home side's edge despite identical form scores.
- Cove's away goals-against average of 4.80, including an 8-0 loss, exposes the defensive fragility that underpins the home-leaning prediction.
- The head-to-head record favours Queen of the South at 62 percent, and recent meetings at Palmerston Park produced a win and a draw.
- Both teams' overall form reads 50 percent, so the model's confidence rests more on venue and defensive metrics than on current momentum.
- Cove's away scoring average of 0.30 goals per game makes an away win unlikely, reinforcing the draw-or-home framing of the advice.
- Predicted winner
- Queen of the South
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Queen of the South or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Queen of the South | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Queen of the South
Recent form: LLLLWDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Cove Rangers
Recent form: DLLWLDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Queen of the South 2–0 Cove Rangers (11 Apr 2026)
- Cove Rangers 1–1 Queen of the South (07 Feb 2026)
- Queen of the South 1–1 Cove Rangers (06 Dec 2025)
- Cove Rangers 0–2 Queen of the South (02 Aug 2025)
- Cove Rangers 2–1 Queen of the South (10 May 2025)