Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA Prediction
Match prediction
- Sejong SA's stronger form and attack ratings, plus a superior Poisson projection, justify favoring them despite a modest overall edge.
- Pyeongtaek's severe home record of one win in twelve, with 31 home goals conceded, undermines any home advantage.
- The 45-45 split between away win and draw, against only 10 percent home, explains why double chance is the safer advice.
- Sejong's poor away defence, conceding 2.10 per game and no away clean sheets, keeps a draw plausible rather than an outright away win.
- The single head-to-head meeting ended level, reinforcing that the draw leg carries genuine weight in this prediction.
- Both teams' recent form is inconsistent and low-scoring, so the model's cautious double-chance stance fits the evidence better than a confident winner pick.
- Predicted winner
- Sejong SA
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Sejong SA
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pyeongtaek Citizen | Sejong SA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pyeongtaek Citizen
Recent form: WDLLLLLLDLLWLLDLLLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Sejong SA
Recent form: LWLWDWLLDLWWWLWLLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sejong SA 2–2 Pyeongtaek Citizen (10 May 2026)