Pustá Polom vs Nový Jičín Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a double chance on Pustá Polom or draw, but its own probabilities are nearly flat at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects a marginal edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Nový Jičín holds much stronger form (69 versus 31) and attack (71 versus 29) ratings, while the defensive scores are identical at 50 and the Poisson estimate is almost even at 48 versus 52. The head-to-head and goals comparisons pull the other way, with Pustá Polom leading 80 to 20 in the historical matchup and 63 to 38 on goals, which helps explain why the model still favours the home side despite the weaker recent profile. The team analysis shows why those signals conflict: Pustá Polom have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from seven, with all four losses coming away and a 2-0-0 home record that includes two clean sheets, whereas Nový Jičín have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, including a 3-0-0 away record and three clean sheets overall. Their goal splits sharpen that contrast, as Pustá Polom concede 3.00 per away match but only 0.70 at home, while Nový Jičín score 2.30 at home and 2.00 away yet concede 2.80 at home and just 0.70 on the road. The last-five records qualify the form gap rather than erase it: Pustá Polom have lost three of five, including 4-1 at Hlučín and 4-1 at Bospor Bohumín, with their only win a 1-0 home success over Břidličná, while Nový Jičín have won three of five, notably 3-0 over Bílovec and 4-2 at Břidličná, but also lost 2-5 at home to Opava II and 2-4 at home to Bospor Bohumín. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to Nový Jičín's recent form, since the last four meetings produced two draws, one 1-0 win for Pustá Polom at Nový Jičín and one 2-1 win for Pustá Polom there, leaving Nový Jičín without a victory in the sample. Overall, the double chance looks like a hedge against that tension: Pustá Polom's home solidity and head-to-head edge support the advice, but Nový Jičín's superior form, attack and away record make the draw component meaningful rather than a formality.

Predicted winner

Pustá Polom

Betting advice

Double chance : Pustá Polom or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pustá Polom 0–0 Nový Jičín (31 May 2026)
2. Nový Jičín 0–1 Pustá Polom (25 Oct 2025)
3. Pustá Polom 2–2 Nový Jičín (05 Apr 2025)
4. Nový Jičín 1–2 Pustá Polom (31 Aug 2024)