Puskás II vs Balatonalmádi Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Puskás II a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Balatonalmádi at just 10%, which frames the advice of a Puskás II-or-draw double chance combined with over 1.5 goals as a cautious rather than emphatic lean. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where Puskás II leads on form (75.00 vs 25.00), attack (71.00 vs 29.00), defence (63.00 vs 38.00) and Poisson (58.00 vs 42.00), yet the head-to-head, goals and total columns are all empty or zero, so no historical or goal-based edge is actually being measured. The team analysis supports the home side's broader superiority but also exposes its inconsistency: Puskás II sit on three wins and five defeats from eight with no draws, while Balatonalmádi have one win and seven losses, including a six-match losing streak. Puskás II's goal profile is similarly mixed, averaging 1.80 scored but 2.10 conceded, with only one clean sheet and two failures to score, so their advantage rests more on Balatonalmádi's weaknesses than on their own solidity. Those weaknesses are stark, as Balatonalmádi average only 0.90 goals scored and 3.30 conceded, have failed to score in three matches and have never kept a clean sheet, which is consistent with the low away win probability. The last-five records qualify the form gap rather than simply confirming it, since Puskás II have lost their two most recent matches (0-4 at Dorogi and 1-2 at home to Sárisáp) after a three-game winning run, while Balatonalmádi's only recent win was 2-1 at SC Sopron amid four defeats. The goals analysis adds a further qualification to the over 1.5 advice, because Puskás II have gone over 1.5 goals in only three of eight matches and Balatonalmádi in just two of eight, even though Balatonalmádi's defensive record of 26 conceded in eight games suggests goals are likely at the other end. Late goals could matter, with Puskás II conceding 40% of their goals against in the 76-90 window and Balatonalmádi conceding 33.33% there, so the match may open up only after the break. The head-to-head section is unavailable, containing no recorded meetings, so the prediction cannot draw on any direct rivalry evidence and instead rests on the current-season form, attack, defence and Poisson splits.

Predicted winner

Puskás II

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Puskás II or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.