Pumas UNAM W vs Tigres UANL W Prediction
Match prediction
- Tigres' superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics support the away win, though the 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Pumas' stronger defence rating and home clean sheets suggest they can limit Tigres, making the +1.5 goals component less certain.
- Tigres' 3.2 goals per game and Pumas' 1.9 average point toward goals, supporting the +1.5 threshold despite Pumas' defensive record.
- Tigres' recent 7-2 away win and 8-0 home win show scoring capacity, but their loss to América exposes vulnerability against stronger sides.
- Pumas' mixed form with two wins, two losses, and a draw in five suggests inconsistency that undermines their home advantage.
- Head-to-head results favour Tigres overall, yet Pumas' home wins in this fixture show the venue can narrow the gap.
- Predicted winner
- Tigres UANL W
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Tigres UANL W and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pumas UNAM W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Attack | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pumas UNAM W
Recent form: LWLWWLLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Tigres UANL W
Recent form: WWWWWWLWD.
Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Pumas UNAM W 0–2 Tigres UANL W (21 Feb 2026)
- Tigres UANL W 5–1 Pumas UNAM W (13 Sep 2025)
- Pumas UNAM W 2–0 Tigres UANL W (13 Apr 2025)
- Tigres UANL W 7–1 Pumas UNAM W (12 Nov 2024)
- Pumas UNAM W 0–0 Tigres UANL W (09 Nov 2024)