Puerto Nuevo vs JJ Urquiza Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, with Puerto Nuevo's 10% win probability reflecting their weaker overall profile.
- JJ Urquiza's superior form and defensive scores, plus a 60% head-to-head edge, support their unbeaten lean despite Puerto Nuevo's stronger attack and Poisson ratings.
- Both teams' goal data show almost every match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the low-scoring component of the combo advice.
- Puerto Nuevo's recent five-match losing run contrasts with JJ Urquiza's three clean sheets in five, strengthening the away side's defensive case.
- JJ Urquiza's away scoring average of 0.30 goals per game and 19 failed-to-score matches suggest the draw carries real weight within the double chance.
- Puerto Nuevo's 1.50 home goals-against average against JJ Urquiza's 0.60 away average points to a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the under 3.5 selection.
- Predicted winner
- JJ Urquiza
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or JJ Urquiza and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Puerto Nuevo | JJ Urquiza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Puerto Nuevo
Recent form: WLDDDWDDDLLDWDWLWWWLDWDDLWLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
JJ Urquiza
Recent form: LLDDWDDDDDWLLLLDLDDWDDLLWLWDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- JJ Urquiza 0–1 Puerto Nuevo (06 Jun 2026)
- JJ Urquiza 2–0 Puerto Nuevo (22 Jun 2025)
- Puerto Nuevo 1–2 JJ Urquiza (08 Mar 2025)
- JJ Urquiza 0–3 Puerto Nuevo (25 Aug 2024)
- Puerto Nuevo 0–1 JJ Urquiza (27 Mar 2024)