Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Spain
Puebla Calzada vs Quintana Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model favours Puebla Calzada as the winner, with a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability leaving Quintana at 0%, so the advice is effectively a call that the visitors will not win rather than a strong claim of a home victory. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Puebla Calzada lead heavily on form (88.00 to 13.00), attack (100.00 to 0.00), defence (67.00 to 33.00) and Poisson (100.00 to 0.00), producing a total of 77.50 against 23.00. The team analysis reinforces this: Puebla Calzada are unbeaten in three matches with a DWW sequence, two wins and one draw, while Quintana are winless with an LLD record, two defeats and one draw. Puebla Calzada's goals analysis shows seven goals in three games at 2.30 per match, with 42.86% of them arriving in the 76-90 minute window, and they have kept two clean sheets while never failing to score. Quintana's profile is starkly different, as they have scored zero goals across three matches, failed to score in all three, and conceded four at 1.30 per game, including a 3-0 away defeat. The last-five records qualify the headline numbers, however, because Puebla Calzada's sequence includes a 0-1 loss to Cabeza Buey and a 2-2 draw with Jerez, showing they are not infallible despite the strong form score. Quintana's recent record is limited to three matches, a 0-0 home draw with Gévora followed by 0-3 and 0-1 defeats, so the sample is small and their one clean sheet came in that goalless draw. The head-to-head section is empty, meaning there is no historical fixture data to either support or contradict the model's view. Overall, the evidence points consistently toward Puebla Calzada avoiding defeat and probably winning, but the 50% draw probability and the absence of head-to-head evidence mean the prediction should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Puebla Calzada
- Betting advice
- Winner : Puebla Calzada
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Puebla Calzada | Quintana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 77.5% | 23.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Puebla Calzada
Recent form: DWW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Quintana
Recent form: LLD.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


