Liga III - Serie 3 · Romania
Pucioasa vs Râmnicu Sărat Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Râmnicu Sărat a 45% chance of winning and the same 45% chance of a draw, leaving Pucioasa at just 10%, so the advice of a draw-or-away double chance combined with under 3.5 goals reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Râmnicu Sărat leads on form (71 versus 29), attack (63 versus 38) and Poisson (100 versus 0), while Pucioasa's only edge comes in defence (60 versus 40). The head-to-head and goals comparison columns are both empty, so no direct historical or goal-based separation between these two teams is available to support or challenge the probabilities. The team analysis shows why the defensive edge may be fragile: Pucioasa have no wins in five matches (two draws, three losses) and have failed to score in three of those games, while Râmnicu Sărat have one win, two draws and two losses. Râmnicu Sărat's record is sharply split by venue, with all nine goals conceded coming at home, including a 1-6 defeat, against zero goals conceded and two clean sheets in two away matches. Pucioasa's goal profile is similarly low-scoring but less extreme, averaging 0.60 goals for and 1.20 against per game, with no match exceeding 2.5 total goals. The last-five records confirm this pattern, as Pucioasa's five games produced just three goals for and six against, while Râmnicu Sărat's away form includes a 2-0 win at Blejoi and a 0-0 draw at Viitorul Corbeanca. However, Râmnicu Sărat's most recent outing was a 1-6 home loss to Voința Crevedia, which is a caution against reading their away solidity as a stable trend from such a small sample. The under 3.5 goals component of the advice therefore looks consistent with both teams' low-scoring profiles, though the double-chance element rests mainly on Râmnicu Sărat's away record rather than on any head-to-head evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Râmnicu Sărat
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Râmnicu Sărat and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pucioasa | Râmnicu Sărat |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 58.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pucioasa
Recent form: LLDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Râmnicu Sărat
Recent form: LDDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


