PTE-PEAC vs Pécsi MFC Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Pécsi MFC a 50% draw-or-win double chance, with the remaining 50% assigned to a draw and a 0% home win probability, so the advice is effectively a cautious lean toward the away side rather than a confident victory call. That caution is hard to square with the comparison metrics, where Pécsi MFC dominates almost every dimension: form 65 versus 35, attack 64 versus 36, defence 83 versus 17, Poisson 79 versus 21, goals 67 versus 33, and total 74.8 versus 25.2. The head-to-head split of 91 to 9 in Pécsi MFC's favour reinforces that gap, although the actual meetings are more mixed, with PTE-PEAC winning 2-1 in September 2024 and drawing 0-0 in August 2025 before Pécsi MFC took the most recent clash 3-2 in March 2026. The team analysis explains why the model still hedges: PTE-PEAC are unbeaten at home this season with three wins and a draw from four home fixtures, and their only defeat came away, so their 35 form score understates a genuinely resilient home profile. Pécsi MFC, by contrast, show a perfect eight wins from eight with no draws or losses, six clean sheets, and no match in which they failed to score, which is the strongest single record in the evidence but also a small sample that may not fully price in the difficulty of a city derby. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: PTE-PEAC average 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pécsi MFC average 3.40 scored and just 0.30 conceded, having kept clean sheets in all four home matches and conceded only twice all season. PTE-PEAC's last five are mixed rather than poor, with two draws, two wins and one loss, including a 6-1 home rout of Budaörs but also a 1-0 away defeat at Kaposvar, whereas Pécsi MFC's last five are all wins, featuring a 7-0 home win over Ivántcsa and a 3-0 win over MTK Budapest II. The tension is therefore between a dominant but short away record and a home side that has not lost in front of its own support, which plausibly explains why the model caps the away probability at 50% and offers the draw-or-away double chance instead of a straight away win. No under-over prediction is provided, and the venue name is absent from the fixture data, so the goals and match-context evidence should be read as supporting the existing double-chance advice rather than as an independent recommendation.

Predicted winner

Pécsi MFC

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Pécsi MFC

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pécsi MFC 3–2 PTE-PEAC (08 Mar 2026)
2. PTE-PEAC 0–0 Pécsi MFC (17 Aug 2025)
3. Pécsi MFC 3–1 PTE-PEAC (13 Apr 2025)
4. PTE-PEAC 1–2 Pécsi MFC (29 Sep 2024)