Romania · Liga III - Serie 7

Progresul Pecica vs CIL Blaj Prediction

Progresul Pecica badgeProgresul Pecica vs CIL Blaj badgeCIL Blaj

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear home superiority.
  • CIL Blaj's perfect six-match form and unbeaten record sharply contradict the model's low 10% away win probability, marking the main tension in this prediction.
  • Pecica's home record is flawless with two wins and heavy scoring, while all three defeats came away, supporting home-leaning double chance.
  • Blaj's away defence concedes only 0.70 per game, yet Pecica's home attack averages 5.50, so the +1.5 goals leg carries real risk.
  • Head-to-head results all favoured the home side, and Pecica won both Pecica-hosted meetings, reinforcing the venue-driven double chance.
  • Pecica failed to score in two away matches but never at home, suggesting the goal-based advice depends heavily on home conditions.
Predicted winner
Progresul Pecica
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Progresul Pecica or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorProgresul PecicaCIL Blaj
Form32.0%68.0%
Attack48.0%52.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total51.2%49.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Progresul Pecica

Recent form: DWLLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

CIL Blaj

Recent form: WWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Progresul Pecica 4–0 CIL Blaj (08 May 2026)
  2. CIL Blaj 3–0 Progresul Pecica (12 Dec 2025)
  3. Progresul Pecica 1–0 CIL Blaj (26 Sep 2025)
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