Romania · Liga III - Serie 4

Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa Prediction

Progresul Fundulea badgeProgresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa badgeGloria Băneasa

Match prediction

  • Progresul Fundulea's perfect home record and 4-0 win over Axiopolis support the home win, though the model's 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Gloria Băneasa's away form includes a 5-0 loss and no clean sheets, reinforcing the home side's attacking edge.
  • The head-to-head record favors Gloria Băneasa 60-40, a meaningful counterweight to Progresul's stronger current form and home advantage.
  • Progresul's home matches average four goals scored and just 0.5 conceded, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice well supported.
  • Gloria Băneasa has failed to score in three of six matches and averages only 0.7 goals, limiting their threat to the home win.
  • Progresul's 76 attack rating against Gloria's 24, plus a 96-4 Poisson split, explains why the model favors the home side despite the draw risk.
Predicted winner
Progresul Fundulea
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Progresul Fundulea and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorProgresul FunduleaGloria Băneasa
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack76.0%24.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson96.0%4.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Progresul Fundulea

Recent form: WWLLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Gloria Băneasa

Recent form: LDLLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Progresul Fundulea 4–1 Gloria Băneasa (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Gloria Băneasa 2–1 Progresul Fundulea (22 Nov 2025)
  3. Progresul Fundulea 2–0 Gloria Băneasa (13 Sep 2025)
  4. Gloria Băneasa 1–0 Progresul Fundulea (23 Nov 2024)
  5. Progresul Fundulea 0–1 Gloria Băneasa (21 Sep 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…