Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Pro Sesto as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, leaving Oltrepò only 10%, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Pro Sesto's form (75.00 vs 25.00), attack (83.00 vs 17.00) and Poisson (66.00 vs 34.00) all point home, yet defence is dead level at 50.00 for both sides. The head-to-head, goals and total comparison rows are all populated with zeros, which suggests those inputs carry no separating information here, while the overall total (68.50 vs 31.50) simply aggregates the other advantages. Pro Sesto's record supports the attacking gap: four matches, three wins, ten goals scored at 2.50 per game, no failure to score, and three clean sheets, including 3-0 wins over Crema and Pontedera. Their defensive numbers are less convincing, though, since all three goals conceded came in a 2-3 home loss to Lentigione, and their only other defeat was a 0-1 away result back in May. Oltrepò's profile is the mirror image in miniature: three matches, one win, two goals scored at 0.70 per game, and a 0-1 home loss to Coriano after a 1-0 away win at Castellanzese. Their away form is actually their stronger side, with both goals and their only clean sheet coming on the road, which slightly qualifies the low 10% away probability even if it does not overturn the home lean. The last-five lists are uneven in size and include matches from May, so the recent three-to-four game samples should be treated as indicative rather than conclusive. With no head-to-head history available and the draw probability equal to the home probability, the evidence jointly supports Pro Sesto as the more likely winner while leaving the draw as a genuine competing outcome.

Predicted winner

Pro Sesto

Betting advice

Winner : Pro Sesto

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.