Serie D - Girone D · Italy

Pro Patria vs Solbiatese Prediction

· Carlo Speroni

Pro Patria badgePro Patria vs Solbiatese badgeSolbiatese

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a Pro Patria win, with the probabilities split evenly at 50% home and 50% draw and no away probability assigned, so the advice is best read as a strong lean rather than a certainty. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Pro Patria dominates form (86.00 vs 14.00), attack (91.00 vs 9.00), defence (67.00 vs 33.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), while the goals and head-to-head columns sit at 0.00 for both sides and therefore add no separating information. The team analysis explains the gap: Pro Patria have won all four fixtures, home and away, with a four-match winning streak, whereas Solbiatese have no wins, two draws and two defeats from the same number of games. Pro Patria's goals analysis shows 10 goals scored at 2.50 per game and only three conceded at 0.80, with scoring spread across the match and a notable cluster of four goals in the 16-30 minute window. Solbiatese's goals analysis is far thinner, with a single goal in four matches at 0.30 per game and six conceded at 1.50, and they failed to score in three of those four outings, which makes their attacking threat hard to support. The last-five records extend the same contrast, as Pro Patria have five straight wins including 3-0 at Arconatese and 2-0 at home to Crema, while Solbiatese's sequence is L-D-D-L with a 1-4 home defeat to Castellanzese and two goalless draws. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either confirm or complicate the model's view. The main qualification is that the 50% draw probability is unusually high for a side with such a dominant profile, and Solbiatese's two clean sheets show they can be defensively stubborn, so the evidence supports Pro Patria as the likely winner without making the outcome safe.

Predicted winner
Pro Patria
Betting advice
Winner : Pro Patria
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPro PatriaSolbiatese
Form86.0%14.0%
Attack91.0%9.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total81.3%18.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Pro Patria

Recent form: WWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Solbiatese

Recent form: LDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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