Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

Pradejón vs Berceo Prediction

Pradejón badgePradejón vs Berceo badgeBerceo

Match prediction

  • Berceo's superior form, attack, and Poisson metrics justify favoring them, though the draw carries equal probability, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • Pradejón's away wins contrast with home struggles, but Berceo's stronger overall scoring output tilts the model toward the visitors.
  • Berceo's heavy reliance on late goals suggests their scoring edge may not translate into early control, keeping draw risk live.
  • Head-to-head results split evenly across recent meetings, which tempers confidence in an outright Berceo win and reinforces covering the draw.
  • Both defenses concede similarly, so the model's near-even draw and away probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
  • Small four-match samples limit how firmly recent form separates these sides, so the advice sensibly hedges rather than backing Berceo alone.
Predicted winner
Berceo
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Berceo
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPradejónBerceo
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson36.0%64.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total42.5%57.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Pradejón

Recent form: LWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Berceo

Recent form: WWLW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Berceo 4–1 Pradejón (12 Apr 2026)
  2. Pradejón 1–0 Berceo (06 Dec 2025)
  3. Pradejón 1–3 Berceo (23 May 2021)
  4. Berceo 0–2 Pradejón (18 Apr 2021)
  5. Pradejón —–— Berceo (10 May 2020)
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