Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Pradejón vs Berceo Prediction
Match prediction
- Berceo's superior form, attack, and Poisson metrics justify favoring them, though the draw carries equal probability, supporting the double-chance advice.
- Pradejón's away wins contrast with home struggles, but Berceo's stronger overall scoring output tilts the model toward the visitors.
- Berceo's heavy reliance on late goals suggests their scoring edge may not translate into early control, keeping draw risk live.
- Head-to-head results split evenly across recent meetings, which tempers confidence in an outright Berceo win and reinforces covering the draw.
- Both defenses concede similarly, so the model's near-even draw and away probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
- Small four-match samples limit how firmly recent form separates these sides, so the advice sensibly hedges rather than backing Berceo alone.
- Predicted winner
- Berceo
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Berceo
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pradejón | Berceo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pradejón
Recent form: LWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Berceo
Recent form: WWLW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Berceo 4–1 Pradejón (12 Apr 2026)
- Pradejón 1–0 Berceo (06 Dec 2025)
- Pradejón 1–3 Berceo (23 May 2021)
- Berceo 0–2 Pradejón (18 Apr 2021)
- Pradejón —–— Berceo (10 May 2020)


