Pozuelo Alarcón vs SS Reyes II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Pozuelo Alarcón via a double chance combined with under 3.5 goals, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for SS Reyes II, so the advice is essentially a bet against an away victory. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Pozuelo lead on attack (60 vs 40), defence (63 vs 38), head-to-head (80 vs 20), goals (60 vs 40) and overall total (62.6 vs 37.6), while form is dead level at 50 apiece. The one clear contradiction sits in the Poisson column, which reads 0 for Pozuelo and 100 for SS Reyes II, a split so extreme that it likely reflects a small or unstable sample rather than a genuine edge for the visitors. Pozuelo's own record supports the low-scoring, hard-to-beat reading: three matches, three draws, no wins and no defeats, with one goal scored and one conceded in every outing, and no clean sheet or failure to score. SS Reyes II are far more volatile across the same three games, winning one, losing two, scoring twice and conceding five, with both of their home defeats producing zero goals for and their only clean sheet arriving away. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast, as Pozuelo have stayed under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goals in all three matches, while SS Reyes II have gone over 1.5 in two of three and conceded two or more in two of three, though their away numbers of two scored and none conceded hint at a possible travel effect. The last-five records extend the pattern: Pozuelo's run is three 1-1 draws plus a 1-0 win and a 0-1 loss, whereas SS Reyes II mix a 0-3 home loss and a 0-2 home loss with a 2-0 away win, a 1-1 away draw and a 4-0 away win. The head-to-head is the smallest sample of all, just two meetings, a 2-1 Pozuelo home win and a 1-1 draw in SS Reyes II's ground, which is consistent with the 80-20 split but too thin to treat as decisive. Taken together, the evidence points to a tight, low-scoring fixture in which Pozuelo's unbeaten but draw-heavy profile and SS Reyes II's away resilience pull in opposite directions, so the double chance and under 3.5 goals look like a reasonable reflection of that tension rather than a confident call.

Predicted winner

Pozuelo Alarcón

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Pozuelo Alarcón or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. SS Reyes II 1–1 Pozuelo Alarcón (19 Apr 2026)
2. Pozuelo Alarcón 2–1 SS Reyes II (14 Dec 2025)