Italy · Serie C - Girone C

Potenza vs AZ Picerno Prediction

· Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani

Potenza badgePotenza vs AZ Picerno badgeAZ Picerno

Match prediction

  • Potenza's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics all favour the home side, supporting the double chance advice.
  • The 45-45 split between home win and draw, with AZ Picerno at just 10%, shows the model sees the draw as the main threat.
  • Potenza's unbeaten home record with three wins from three strengthens the case for avoiding an away victory.
  • AZ Picerno's three defeats in five, including two away losses, undercut their chances of an upset at Viviani.
  • Head-to-head results are venue-dominated, with the home side winning the last two meetings, reinforcing Potenza's edge.
  • Both teams score heavily after the hour mark, so late goals could turn a tight contest without overturning the home-favoured outcome.
Predicted winner
Potenza
Betting advice
Double chance : Potenza or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPotenzaAZ Picerno
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total60.5%39.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Potenza

Recent form: WWWLDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

AZ Picerno

Recent form: WWWLLLW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. AZ Picerno 2–0 Potenza (01 Feb 2026)
  2. Potenza 2–0 AZ Picerno (21 Sep 2025)
  3. Potenza 2–0 AZ Picerno (04 May 2025)
  4. Potenza 2–2 AZ Picerno (02 Mar 2025)
  5. AZ Picerno 1–1 Potenza (21 Oct 2024)
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