Bosnia · 1st League - FBiH

Posušje vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction

Posušje badgePosušje vs Sloboda Tuzla badgeSloboda Tuzla

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, while Sloboda Tuzla's 10% away probability reflects their weaker overall profile.
  • Posušje's unbeaten seven-match record, including three home wins without defeat, supports the home side avoiding loss.
  • Sloboda Tuzla's superior attack rating and higher scoring average conflict with their lower away win probability, suggesting they can score but not necessarily win.
  • Posušje's strong defence, conceding only one home goal, offsets Sloboda's attacking threat and reinforces the draw-or-home outcome.
  • The head-to-head record heavily favours Posušje at home, though those meetings came in the top flight, so the trend is directional rather than decisive.
  • Both teams' recent low-scoring, tight matches indicate a close contest, making the draw component of the double chance especially relevant.
Predicted winner
Posušje
Betting advice
Double chance : Posušje or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPosušjeSloboda Tuzla
Form52.0%48.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2h93.0%7.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Posušje

Recent form: DWDWWWD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Sloboda Tuzla

Recent form: DWLWDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sloboda Tuzla 0–3 Posušje (26 Apr 2025)
  2. Posušje 2–0 Sloboda Tuzla (08 Nov 2024)
  3. Sloboda Tuzla 0–2 Posušje (10 Aug 2024)
  4. Sloboda Tuzla —–— Posušje (29 Apr 2023)
  5. Posušje 2–0 Sloboda Tuzla (08 Apr 2023)
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