Liga III - Serie 4 · Romania
Portul Constanta vs Dunarea Calarasi Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Portul Constanta with a double-chance advice of "Portul Constanta or draw," supported by a narrow probability split of 35% home, 35% draw, and 30% away that leaves the outcome genuinely open. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Dunarea Calarasi actually holds the stronger form score (67.00 versus 33.00) and a marginally higher total (50.30 versus 49.80), even though Portul Constanta dominates the attack (64.00 versus 36.00), defence (39.00 versus 61.00), and Poisson (63.00 versus 37.00) measures. The head-to-head, goals, and total comparison fields are all recorded at 0.00, and the head-to-head section is empty, so no direct meeting history or goals-based comparison can qualify the advice. Portul Constanta's last five (WLLLL) shows a single 5-0 home win over Gloria Baneasa followed by four straight defeats, including a 6-0 away loss to Sporting Liesti, which explains why their form score is so low despite a respectable 1.80 goals-for average. Dunarea Calarasi's last five (LLLWW) runs in the opposite direction, with two recent wins (3-2 over Sporting Liesti and 2-0 away at Gloria Baneasa) after three straight losses, giving them momentum that the form metric rewards. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: Portul Constanta scores 1.80 per game but concedes 2.80, while Dunarea Calarasi scores only 1.00 and concedes 1.80, so both defences look vulnerable and the home side carries the greater attacking threat. Portul Constanta's home record (one win, two losses, with a 5-0 best and 1-3 worst) and Dunarea Calarasi's away record (one win, one loss, with a 0-2 best and 3-0 worst) suggest neither venue pattern is decisive. Overall, the double-chance advice looks like a hedge against the conflicting signals—Portul Constanta's superior attack and Poisson edge against Dunarea Calarasi's better form and recent momentum—rather than a confident endorsement, and the small five-match samples mean these trends should be treated as indicative only.
- Predicted winner
- Portul Constanta
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Portul Constanta or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Portul Constanta | Dunarea Calarasi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Poisson | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Portul Constanta
Recent form: WLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Dunarea Calarasi
Recent form: LLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


