Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty rather than a confident away win.
• Alavés II's three wins in four contrast with Portugalete's mixed record, supporting the away side's higher form and attack ratings.
• Portugalete's superior defence rating and two clean sheets suggest they can limit Alavés II, which is why the model still assigns 45% to a draw.
• Alavés II score heavily but concede in every match, so Portugalete's home resilience makes a share of the points plausible.
• All four head-to-head meetings were drawn or decided by a single goal, reinforcing the advice's protection against a Portugalete win.
• Portugalete's tendency toward low-scoring games and Alavés II's leaky defence pull in opposite directions, keeping the outright winner unclear.

Predicted winner

Deportivo Alavés II

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Deportivo Alavés II

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Deportivo Alavés II 0–0 Portugalete (27 Mar 2022)
2. Portugalete 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II (21 Nov 2021)
3. Portugalete 0–0 Deportivo Alavés II (06 Feb 2021)
4. Deportivo Alavés II 1–0 Portugalete (07 Nov 2020)