Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · Spain

Portuense vs Chiclana Prediction

Portuense badgePortuense vs Chiclana badgeChiclana

Match prediction

The existing model gives Portuense a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability, with a 0% away probability, framing the advice as a Portuense win-or-draw combined with under 3.5 goals. That advice is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Portuense leads on form (69.00 to 31.00), attack (75.00 to 25.00), defence (67.00 to 33.00), and overall total (70.30 to 29.70), although the Poisson, head-to-head, and goals comparison fields are all populated with zeros and therefore offer no additional signal. Portuense's team analysis shows a perfect WWW record across three matches, with two clean sheets, no failures to score, and a 2-0 home win as their biggest victory, while Chiclana's WDL form includes one win, one draw, and one loss, with two failures to score and only one clean sheet. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast: Portuense have scored six goals at 2.00 per game while conceding just one at 0.30 per game, whereas Chiclana have scored only two goals at 0.70 per game and conceded two at the same rate. Portuense's goal distribution is spread across the 16-75 minute range, with 33.33% each in the 46-60 and 61-75 windows, while their single concession came in the 0-15 window, suggesting they are not especially vulnerable early. Chiclana's two goals came in the 16-30 and 76-90 windows, and their two concessions were split between the 31-45 and 76-90 windows, which hints at a side that can be exposed late. The last-five records broadly support the same reading: Portuense have three wins and a draw in their listed matches, including a 3-1 away win at Egabrense and a 1-0 away win at Xerez Deportivo, while Chiclana's listed matches include a 0-1 home loss to Ceuta II, a 0-0 away draw at Córdoba II, and a 2-1 home win over Linense. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either confirm or challenge the model's view. The main tension is that the 50% draw probability is unusually high alongside a 0% away probability, and the small three-match samples mean the form and goals splits should be treated as indicative rather than decisive.

Predicted winner
Portuense
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Portuense or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorPortuenseChiclana
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total70.3%29.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Portuense

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Chiclana

Recent form: WDL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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