Northern-Ireland · Premiership
Portadown vs Limavady United Prediction
· Shamrock Park
Match prediction
- Limavady's superior recent form and attacking metrics justify the double-chance advice, though Portadown's head-to-head edge at Shamrock Park introduces genuine uncertainty.
- Portadown's winless league record and six-match losing streak make an outright home victory unlikely, supporting the draw-or-away recommendation.
- The model rates away win and draw equally at 45 percent each, so the double chance reflects near-total coverage rather than confidence in a Limavady victory.
- Portadown's defensive record of conceding in every match undermines their clean-sheet prospects, reinforcing the case against a home win.
- Limavady's tendency to lose rather than draw means the draw component carries real weight, offsetting their stronger overall profile.
- Portadown's historical head-to-head advantage at this venue is largely outdated, so it should not override current form evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Limavady United
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Limavady United
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Portadown | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10.0% | 90.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Poisson | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Portadown
Recent form: LLLLLLDLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Limavady United
Recent form: LLLLWWLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Portadown 2–0 Limavady United (08 Jan 2022)
- Limavady United 2–2 Portadown (24 Nov 2018)
- Portadown 2–2 Limavady United (07 Sep 2018)
- Limavady United 1–1 Portadown (13 Jan 2018)
- Portadown 2–1 Limavady United (19 Aug 2017)


