Northern-Ireland · Premiership

Portadown vs Limavady United Prediction

· Shamrock Park

Portadown badgePortadown vs Limavady United badgeLimavady United

Match prediction

  • Limavady's superior recent form and attacking metrics justify the double-chance advice, though Portadown's head-to-head edge at Shamrock Park introduces genuine uncertainty.
  • Portadown's winless league record and six-match losing streak make an outright home victory unlikely, supporting the draw-or-away recommendation.
  • The model rates away win and draw equally at 45 percent each, so the double chance reflects near-total coverage rather than confidence in a Limavady victory.
  • Portadown's defensive record of conceding in every match undermines their clean-sheet prospects, reinforcing the case against a home win.
  • Limavady's tendency to lose rather than draw means the draw component carries real weight, offsetting their stronger overall profile.
  • Portadown's historical head-to-head advantage at this venue is largely outdated, so it should not override current form evidence.
Predicted winner
Limavady United
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Limavady United
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPortadownLimavady United
Form10.0%90.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson24.0%76.0%
H2h75.0%25.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total38.8%61.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Portadown

Recent form: LLLLLLDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Limavady United

Recent form: LLLLWWLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Portadown 2–0 Limavady United (08 Jan 2022)
  2. Limavady United 2–2 Portadown (24 Nov 2018)
  3. Portadown 2–2 Limavady United (07 Sep 2018)
  4. Limavady United 1–1 Portadown (13 Jan 2018)
  5. Portadown 2–1 Limavady United (19 Aug 2017)
Loading interactive prediction…