Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Santanyí Prediction
Match prediction
- Porreres and Santanyí share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine balance rather than clear home superiority.
- Porreres' superior form, attack, and head-to-head scores support their side of the double chance, though Santanyí's unbeaten four-match run qualifies that edge.
- Both teams' goal data show every recent match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Santanyí's three draws in four matches and low 1.00 goals-per-game average suggest a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the draw probability.
- Porreres' strong home defence, conceding only 0.50 goals per home game, further supports the under 3.5 goals expectation.
- The narrow 10% away win probability makes Santanyí victory unlikely, justifying the combined Porreres-or-draw selection.
- Predicted winner
- Porreres
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Porreres or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Porreres | Santanyí |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Porreres
Recent form: WLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Santanyí
Recent form: DDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Porreres 3–1 Santanyí (19 Apr 2025)
- Santanyí 2–2 Porreres (07 Dec 2024)


