Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

Porreres vs Santanyí Prediction

Porreres badgePorreres vs Santanyí badgeSantanyí

Match prediction

  • Porreres and Santanyí share identical 45% win and draw probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine balance rather than clear home superiority.
  • Porreres' superior form, attack, and head-to-head scores support their side of the double chance, though Santanyí's unbeaten four-match run qualifies that edge.
  • Both teams' goal data show every recent match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Santanyí's three draws in four matches and low 1.00 goals-per-game average suggest a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the draw probability.
  • Porreres' strong home defence, conceding only 0.50 goals per home game, further supports the under 3.5 goals expectation.
  • The narrow 10% away win probability makes Santanyí victory unlikely, justifying the combined Porreres-or-draw selection.
Predicted winner
Porreres
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Porreres or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorPorreresSantanyí
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total61.0%39.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Porreres

Recent form: WLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Santanyí

Recent form: DDWD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Porreres 3–1 Santanyí (19 Apr 2025)
  2. Santanyí 2–2 Porreres (07 Dec 2024)
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