Poprad vs MSK Tesla Stropkov Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double chance the natural expression of a near-even contest, not a confident away win.
- Poprad's superior form, attack, and Poisson scores conflict with the model's low 10% home probability, suggesting those metrics overstate a home side that draws rarely.
- Stropkov's head-to-head dominance at 80% is the clearest single edge supporting the away side within the double chance.
- Both teams average 1.1 goals conceded, so the draw component of the advice gains credibility from evenly matched defensive records.
- Poprad's zero draws across eight matches and Stropkov's two draws weaken the draw leg, though the model still weights it equally with an away win.
- Stropkov's away form is poor with two losses and no clean sheets on the road, which tempers the away-win portion of the advice.
- Predicted winner
- MSK Tesla Stropkov
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or MSK Tesla Stropkov
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Poprad | MSK Tesla Stropkov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Poprad
Recent form: LWWWWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
MSK Tesla Stropkov
Recent form: DWWLLLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Poprad 3–0 MSK Tesla Stropkov (09 May 2026)
- MSK Tesla Stropkov 2–1 Poprad (12 Oct 2025)
- Poprad 2–4 MSK Tesla Stropkov (30 Sep 2025)
- MSK Tesla Stropkov 1–0 Poprad (09 Mar 2025)
- Poprad 1–3 MSK Tesla Stropkov (10 Aug 2024)