Poortugaal vs GOES Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Poortugaal a 45% home win and 45% draw probability, leaving GOES at just 10%, which frames the double-chance advice toward Poortugaal or draw as the central output to be tested against the evidence. That advice is only partly reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Poortugaal's form score of 53.00 and defensive score of 69.00 are stronger than GOES's 47.00 and 31.00, yet GOES leads on attack (56.00 vs 44.00) and Poisson (56.00 vs 44.00), so the two teams' profiles pull in different directions. The overall totals are nearly level at 52.50 for Poortugaal and 47.50 for GOES, which helps explain why the model treats the draw as an equally likely outcome rather than a clear home win. Poortugaal's six-match record of three wins and three defeats, with no draws, contrasts with GOES's three wins, two draws and one loss, suggesting GOES has been harder to beat even if its form score is lower. Poortugaal's goals analysis shows 1.30 scored and 1.30 conceded per game, while GOES averages 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, so GOES matches a stronger attack with a much leakier defence. That defensive weakness is visible in GOES's last five, which include a 1-4 home loss to Rijnvogels and a 0-1 home defeat to Noordwijk, although it also contains a 3-2 away win at Dongen and a 2-1 home win over UNA. Poortugaal's last five are similarly mixed, with a 3-1 home win over Zwaluwen and a 1-0 away win at EVV offset by a 0-1 loss at Rijnvogels and a 1-2 home defeat to Gemert, so neither recent sequence points to sustained dominance. The head-to-head section is empty, and the goals-by-minute data are null, so no historical or timing-based pattern can be used to support or challenge the prediction. On balance, the defensive and form metrics lean toward the double-chance advice, but GOES's superior attack and Poisson scores, plus its habit of avoiding defeat, mean the 10% away probability looks like the model's most aggressive assumption rather than a firmly established conclusion.

Predicted winner

Poortugaal

Betting advice

Double chance : Poortugaal or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.