Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance despite no clear favourite.
• Pontypridd's superior attack and Poisson ratings support the home side, though their weak defence tempers outright confidence.
• Llantwit Major's recent wins and strong head-to-head record, including a 4-0 away victory here, qualify the advice.
• Both teams' identical 50% form and Pontypridd's lack of clean sheets suggest the draw component carries real weight.
• Llantwit Major's poor away defence and low scoring average make an away win less likely than the head-to-head suggests.
• Small samples in recent form and head-to-head results mean the probabilities should be treated as uncertain.

Predicted winner

Pontypridd Town

Betting advice

Double chance : Pontypridd Town or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pontypridd Town 0–4 Llantwit Major (06 Mar 2026)
2. Llantwit Major 2–0 Pontypridd Town (11 Oct 2025)
3. Llantwit Major 1–1 Pontypridd Town (23 Nov 2024)
4. Pontypridd Town 1–1 Llantwit Major (07 Sep 2024)
5. Llantwit Major 3–1 Pontypridd Town (12 Feb 2022)