Pontevedra II vs Arenteiro Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Pontevedra II a 35% home win probability and a 35% draw probability against Arenteiro’s 30%, so the “Pontevedra II or draw” double chance rests on a narrow combined 70% edge rather than a clear favourite. That modest separation is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Pontevedra II leads on form (57.00 to 43.00), attack (80.00 to 20.00), defence (38.00 to 63.00), Poisson (54.00 to 46.00) and total (57.30 to 43.00), although the h2h and goals columns are both 0.00 for each side and therefore add no signal. The team analysis supports the attacking gap but complicates the defensive picture: Pontevedra II have one win, one draw and one loss from three games with no clean sheets, while Arenteiro have one win and two defeats, including a two-match losing streak. Pontevedra II’s goals analysis is the strongest single driver, with 8 goals scored at 2.70 per game and 3.50 per away match, but their 1.70 goals conceded per game and lack of clean sheets mean the defensive advantage in the comparison metrics is not absolute. Arenteiro’s goals profile is far quieter, with only 2 goals scored at 0.70 per game and no match producing more than one goal for them, which helps explain why the model leans toward Pontevedra II without making the win probability dominant. The last-five records qualify both sides: Pontevedra II’s recent run includes a 6-2 away win at Alondras, a 1-1 draw at Somozas and a 1-2 home loss to Celta de Vigo III, while Arenteiro’s sequence is a 1-0 home win over Lalin, a 1-2 away loss at Portonovo SD and a 0-1 home loss to Barco. Those older entries, including Pontevedra II’s 0-4 loss at Somozas and 2-0 home win over Alondras in May 2024, and Arenteiro’s 0-0 draw at Lugo and 0-1 home loss to Ponferradina in May 2026, come from a different sample and should not be weighted like the current-season results. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no direct meeting evidence to confirm or contradict the model’s lean, and the under-over prediction is also absent. Overall, the evidence points to Pontevedra II as the more likely side to avoid defeat, but the small three-match samples, Arenteiro’s ability to keep one clean sheet, and the missing h2h data keep this a qualified rather than confident read.

Predicted winner

Pontevedra II

Betting advice

Double chance : Pontevedra II or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.