III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Weszlo Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model output points to a Weszlo win, yet its own probabilities split evenly between a draw and an away victory at 50% each, with Polonia Lidzbark Warm. assigned 0%, so the advice is best read as a directional lean rather than a confident call. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Weszlo dominates form (76.00 vs 24.00), attack (63.00 vs 37.00), defence (71.00 vs 29.00) and Poisson (81.00 vs 19.00), producing a total of 72.80 against 27.30. The team analysis explains the gap: Weszlo are unbeaten across nine matches with eight wins and one draw, including a five-match winning streak, while Polonia have one win, two draws and six defeats, with no clean sheets and a losing streak of two. Weszlo's goals analysis adds substance to the defensive edge, conceding only six goals in nine games at 0.70 per match and keeping five clean sheets, whereas Polonia have conceded 20 at 2.20 per match and failed to keep a single clean sheet. The attacking contrast is less extreme but still favours the visitors, with Weszlo averaging 2.40 goals per game against Polonia's 1.40, and both sides scoring most heavily late, as Polonia netted 50% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Weszlo 34.78%. The last-five records sharpen the picture, since Weszlo have four wins and a draw with three clean sheets in that span, while Polonia have three defeats, one draw and one win, conceding four at Widzew II and three at Wigry Suwałki. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct meeting evidence can either support or qualify the model's preference, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are also zero, leaving the Poisson and form inputs to carry the weight. The main tension is that a 50% draw probability sits alongside a 0% home probability, which suggests the model sees little chance of a Polonia win but meaningful resistance through a draw, even though Weszlo's unbeaten record and defensive record make that outcome look less likely on the available evidence. Overall, the evidence consistently tilts toward Weszlo, but the split probabilities and the absence of head-to-head data mean the conclusion should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Weszlo
- Betting advice
- Winner : Weszlo
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | Weszlo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Attack | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 19.0% | 81.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 27.3% | 72.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Recent form: LLDLLDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Weszlo
Recent form: WWWWWDWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


