World · UEFA Nations League

Poland vs Romania Prediction

Poland badgePoland vs Romania badgeRomania

Match prediction

  • Poland's perfect head-to-head record and superior defensive form underpin the double-chance advice, though the draw probability matching the home win tempers outright confidence.
  • Romania's attack rating exceeds Poland's, but two straight losses and six goals conceded show that threat comes without defensive stability.
  • Poland's clean sheet at home against Bosnia contrasts with Romania's failure to keep any, supporting the draw-or-better cushion.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced goals, yet Poland's low scoring average suggests the value lies in avoiding defeat rather than a high-scoring home win.
  • Romania's away loss to Sweden and home collapse to Bosnia indicate fragile form, making an away win the least likely outcome at ten percent.
  • The small two-match sample limits firm conclusions, but the consistent direction of form, defence, and head-to-head evidence all favour Poland not losing.
Predicted winner
Poland
Betting advice
Double chance : Poland or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPolandRomania
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals86.0%14.0%
Total59.3%40.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Poland

Recent form: DL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Romania

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Poland 3–1 Romania (10 Jun 2017)
  2. Romania 0–3 Poland (11 Nov 2016)
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