World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 Prediction
· Arena Katowice
Match prediction
- Poland's perfect eight-win record and six clean sheets justify the home win advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals only modest confidence.
- Sweden's four losses and four scoreless outings in eight matches contrast sharply with Poland's unblemished form, supporting the winner selection.
- Poland's defensive dominance, conceding just twice across eight games, offsets Sweden's occasional scoring threat and reinforces the home-side recommendation.
- The lone head-to-head, a 6-0 Polish away win, is a small sample yet aligns with the broader form and defensive evidence behind the advice.
- Poland's goals cluster late, with most strikes after the 76th minute, suggesting the win may require patience rather than early control.
- Sweden's heavy defeats to Italy and Finland show vulnerability against stronger sides, consistent with the model favoring Poland despite the draw risk.
- Predicted winner
- Poland U21
- Betting advice
- Winner : Poland U21
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Poland U21 | Sweden U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| Poisson | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 77.3% | 22.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Poland U21
Recent form: WWWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.
Sweden U21
Recent form: WLLLWWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sweden U21 0–6 Poland U21 (14 Oct 2025)


