World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 Prediction

· Arena Katowice

Poland U21 badgePoland U21 vs Sweden U21 badgeSweden U21

Match prediction

  • Poland's perfect eight-win record and six clean sheets justify the home win advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals only modest confidence.
  • Sweden's four losses and four scoreless outings in eight matches contrast sharply with Poland's unblemished form, supporting the winner selection.
  • Poland's defensive dominance, conceding just twice across eight games, offsets Sweden's occasional scoring threat and reinforces the home-side recommendation.
  • The lone head-to-head, a 6-0 Polish away win, is a small sample yet aligns with the broader form and defensive evidence behind the advice.
  • Poland's goals cluster late, with most strikes after the 76th minute, suggesting the win may require patience rather than early control.
  • Sweden's heavy defeats to Italy and Finland show vulnerability against stronger sides, consistent with the model favoring Poland despite the draw risk.
Predicted winner
Poland U21
Betting advice
Winner : Poland U21
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPoland U21Sweden U21
Form68.0%32.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence87.0%13.0%
Poisson87.0%13.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total77.3%22.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Poland U21

Recent form: WWWWWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Sweden U21

Recent form: WLLLWWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sweden U21 0–6 Poland U21 (14 Oct 2025)
Loading interactive prediction…