Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Pogon Szczecin avoiding defeat, assigning a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Udinese, which makes the double-chance advice internally consistent even though the two leading outcomes are equally weighted. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Udinese hold the better form (54.00 vs 46.00), attack (55.00 vs 45.00) and defence (57.00 vs 43.00) ratings, so the raw quality indicators do not clearly favour the Polish side. The Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 is the strongest single signal behind the home-oriented probabilities, but it sits in tension with the head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields, which are all recorded at 0.00 and therefore offer no usable differentiation. Pogon's overall record of four wins, one draw and three losses across eight matches is shaped heavily by venue, since they won all three home fixtures without defeat while losing three of five away, and their last five show two wins, two draws and one loss with only one clean sheet in that run. Udinese's form line of two wins, two draws and three losses is more troubling than the ratings suggest, as they have lost three of their last five, including a 5-3 defeat at Inter and a 1-0 home loss to Cagliari, and they have failed to score in both away matches sampled. The goals analysis adds a further qualification: Pogon average 2.70 goals at home but only 0.60 away, while Udinese have scored all eight of their goals at home and none in two away outings, so the visitors' attacking threat may be less reliable than their 55.00 attack rating implies. Defensively the two are nearly indistinguishable on average, with Pogon conceding 1.30 at home and 1.40 away against Udinese's 1.40 at home and 1.50 away, and both have kept two clean sheets overall, which supports a relatively contained rather than high-scoring contest. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the venue-based pattern, and the last-five samples for both teams are small enough that the form and rating gaps should be treated as directional rather than decisive. On balance, the evidence supports the existing double-chance advice mainly through Pogon's unbeaten home record and Udinese's away scoring drought, while the superior Udinese ratings and Pogon's away vulnerability keep the draw component meaningful rather than making a home win a firm expectation.

Predicted winner

Pogon Szczecin

Betting advice

Double chance : Pogon Szczecin or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.