Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Star Starachowice Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, while Podlasie's 10% home win probability reflects their weak overall profile.
- Star Starachowice's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics support their edge, though the equal draw probability signals genuine uncertainty.
- Podlasie's strong home record of two wins and two draws without defeat conflicts with their poor away form, explaining why the model still assigns them some home threat.
- Star's away record shows no wins and four failures to score, which tempers the away-win probability and makes the draw component of the advice essential.
- Both teams' goal data show low-scoring tendencies, with neither exceeding 2.5 goals in any match, reinforcing the cautious double-chance rather than a confident away victory.
- The head-to-head history is balanced with two draws and alternating wins, supporting the model's decision to hedge between draw and away victory.
- Predicted winner
- Star Starachowice
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Star Starachowice
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | Star Starachowice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Recent form: LDWWLDLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Star Starachowice
Recent form: LDLWDLDLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Star Starachowice 1–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska (23 May 2026)
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2–1 Star Starachowice (08 Nov 2025)
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Star Starachowice (12 Apr 2025)
- Star Starachowice 1–0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska (14 Sep 2024)
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–3 Star Starachowice (10 May 2024)


