Poland · II Liga - East

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała Prediction

· Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Podhale Nowy Targ badgePodhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała badgeRekord Bielsko-Biała

Match prediction

  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Podhale's strong home scoring and Rekord's weak away attack support the home side avoiding defeat, though Rekord's better overall form tempers that.
  • Rekord's superior defensive record and three clean sheets suggest the draw component carries real weight, consistent with the equal 45% probabilities.
  • Podhale's dominant head-to-head record and home advantage reinforce the home-or-draw advice, but recent friendlies and small samples limit its predictive strength.
  • Both teams concede frequently late, so a tight match could still swing either way, which is why the draw is included rather than a straight home win.
Predicted winner
Podhale Nowy Targ
Betting advice
Double chance : Podhale Nowy Targ or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPodhale Nowy TargRekord Bielsko-Biała
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack61.0%39.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2h93.0%7.0%
Goals79.0%21.0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Podhale Nowy Targ

Recent form: WDLLDWWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Recent form: DWWLLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Podhale Nowy Targ 3–2 Rekord Bielsko-Biała (29 Nov 2025)
  2. Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 Podhale Nowy Targ (01 Aug 2025)
  3. Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0–4 Podhale Nowy Targ (15 Feb 2025)
  4. Podhale Nowy Targ 1–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała (10 Feb 2024)
  5. Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0–2 Podhale Nowy Targ (22 Jan 2022)
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