Russia · Second League - Group 4

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II Prediction

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod badgePobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II badgeKrylya Sovetov II

Match prediction

  • Pobeda's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings align with the model's 45% home win probability, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • Krylya Sovetov II's away record of one win in thirteen explains their low 10% win probability and the draw's equal 45% share.
  • The recent head-to-head favours Pobeda, who won the September meeting and drew the August one, reinforcing their edge in this fixture.
  • Krylya Sovetov II's five-match losing run and failure to score in eleven league games weaken their case for an away upset.
  • Pobeda's modest recent form of two losses and a draw slightly qualifies the advice, keeping the draw as a genuine alternative outcome.
  • Both teams' low-scoring profiles suggest a tight contest, which supports covering the draw alongside a Pobeda win.
Predicted winner
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Betting advice
Double chance : Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPobeda Nizhniy NovgorodKrylya Sovetov II
Form70.0%30.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2h88.0%13.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total68.7%31.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Recent form: WWDLWLWWWLWWWWWDWWDLLDWWLLD.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Krylya Sovetov II

Recent form: WWLWLLDDLWWDLDWDDDDLLDWLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Krylya Sovetov II 0–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (06 Sep 2026)
  2. Krylya Sovetov II 1–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (02 Aug 2026)
  3. Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–0 Krylya Sovetov II (24 May 2026)
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