Russia · Second League - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II Prediction
Match prediction
- Pobeda's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings align with the model's 45% home win probability, supporting the double-chance advice.
- Krylya Sovetov II's away record of one win in thirteen explains their low 10% win probability and the draw's equal 45% share.
- The recent head-to-head favours Pobeda, who won the September meeting and drew the August one, reinforcing their edge in this fixture.
- Krylya Sovetov II's five-match losing run and failure to score in eleven league games weaken their case for an away upset.
- Pobeda's modest recent form of two losses and a draw slightly qualifies the advice, keeping the draw as a genuine alternative outcome.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles suggest a tight contest, which supports covering the draw alongside a Pobeda win.
- Predicted winner
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | Krylya Sovetov II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| H2h | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Recent form: WWDLWLWWWLWWWWWDWWDLLDWWLLD.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Krylya Sovetov II
Recent form: WWLWLLDDLWWDLDWDDDDLLDWLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Krylya Sovetov II 0–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (06 Sep 2026)
- Krylya Sovetov II 1–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (02 Aug 2026)
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–0 Krylya Sovetov II (24 May 2026)


