England · Non League Premier - Southern South
Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge Prediction
Match status: Match Postponed. This page remains the canonical record for the fixture.
Match prediction
- The model's near-even probabilities, with home and draw both at 35%, justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight win.
- Plymouth's perfect home record of four wins without defeat strengthens the home side of that double chance.
- Uxbridge's strong recent form of three straight wins keeps the away probability at 30%, preventing a more confident home-only pick.
- Plymouth's home defence concedes only 0.30 goals per game, supporting the draw-or-home cushion against Uxbridge's solid away scoring.
- The head-to-head record is split evenly, so it neither reinforces nor undermines the double-chance selection.
- Plymouth's superior Poisson and form ratings explain why the model favours them despite identical defensive comparison scores.
- Predicted winner
- Plymouth Parkway
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Plymouth Parkway or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Plymouth Parkway | Uxbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Plymouth Parkway
Recent form: WDLWWWWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Uxbridge
Recent form: WWDWWDWLW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Uxbridge 1–2 Plymouth Parkway (17 Jan 2026)
- Plymouth Parkway 0–3 Uxbridge (08 Nov 2025)