Romania · Liga III - Serie 3

Plopeni vs Pucioasa Prediction

Plopeni badgePlopeni vs Pucioasa badgePucioasa

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away probabilities make the double-chance advice the logical expression of an essentially even contest.
  • Pucioasa's superior defensive rating and head-to-head edge support their inclusion, though Plopeni's stronger recent form complicates the picture.
  • Plopeni's attack and defence ratings lag behind Pucioasa's, yet their better form and home advantage explain why the model still assigns them a 10% win chance.
  • Both teams average one goal scored per game, suggesting a low-scoring affair that keeps the draw component of the advice plausible.
  • Pucioasa's away form shows two draws and a loss without a win, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory and justifies covering the draw.
  • The head-to-head record leans toward Pucioasa, but the most recent meeting ended level, reinforcing the draw-or-away recommendation.
Predicted winner
Pucioasa
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Pucioasa
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPlopeniPucioasa
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack45.0%55.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total45.2%54.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Plopeni

Recent form: WLWLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Pucioasa

Recent form: LLDDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pucioasa 2–2 Plopeni (11 May 2024)
  2. Plopeni 2–0 Pucioasa (13 Apr 2024)
  3. Pucioasa 2–1 Plopeni (24 Nov 2023)
  4. Plopeni 1–2 Pucioasa (23 Sep 2023)
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