Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain
Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Los Llanos a 50% win probability and Playas Sotavento a 0% win probability, with the remaining 50% assigned to a draw, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Los Llanos rather than an outright away win. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Los Llanos lead on form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (100.00 vs 0.00) and defence (78.00 vs 22.00), yet the Poisson and head-to-head columns are both 0.00 for each side, so those two components offer no separating signal. The team analysis sharpens the contrast but also exposes how thin the sample is: Playas Sotavento have lost both of their two fixtures, including a 0-2 home defeat and a 5-0 away loss, and have failed to score in either game. Los Llanos have played the same two matches but split them, winning 2-1 at home against Laguna de Duero before losing 1-0 away to Real Unión de Tenerife, so their form string of LW is far from dominant. The goals analysis reinforces that asymmetry, with Playas Sotavento averaging 0.00 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per game, while Los Llanos average 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, and both of Los Llanos' goals arrived in the 76-90 minute window. Their defensive records differ in shape as well: Playas Sotavento conceded three of seven goals in the 31-45 band, whereas Los Llanos conceded once in the opening 15 minutes and once late, suggesting no single reliable pattern. The last-five records add further qualification, since Playas Sotavento's list includes a 1-1 draw with Gévora from October 2024 alongside their two 2026 defeats, while Los Llanos' list contains three additional losses from April and May 2025. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no direct meeting evidence to confirm or contradict the model's lean. Overall, the probabilities and comparison metrics point toward Los Llanos avoiding defeat, but the small two-match samples, the 0.00 Poisson and head-to-head inputs, and Los Llanos' own away loss mean the draw-or-away advice should be read as a modest, uncertain lean rather than a firm conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- Los Llanos
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Los Llanos
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Playas Sotavento | Los Llanos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 22.0% | 78.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Playas Sotavento
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Los Llanos
Recent form: LW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


