Piratas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction
Match prediction
- Piratas' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the double-chance advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Alebrijes' away record of one win and four losses, conceding 2.4 goals per away game, reinforces why the model avoids backing them outright.
- Piratas' home form of three wins from four, including a 4-1 victory, supports the home-or-draw advice despite their recent away defeat.
- Alebrijes concede most heavily after the 76th minute, suggesting Piratas can capitalize late if the match remains tight.
- The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests mainly on current form and goal metrics rather than historical matchup patterns.
- Both teams' low scoring averages and frequent under 2.5 goal outcomes suggest a tight contest, which explains the draw-heavy probability split.
- Predicted winner
- Piratas
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Piratas or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Piratas | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Poisson | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Piratas
Recent form: DWWLLDWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Recent form: LLWWLDLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


