Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX

Piratas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction

Piratas badgePiratas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca badgeAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Match prediction

  • Piratas' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the double-chance advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Alebrijes' away record of one win and four losses, conceding 2.4 goals per away game, reinforces why the model avoids backing them outright.
  • Piratas' home form of three wins from four, including a 4-1 victory, supports the home-or-draw advice despite their recent away defeat.
  • Alebrijes concede most heavily after the 76th minute, suggesting Piratas can capitalize late if the match remains tight.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests mainly on current form and goal metrics rather than historical matchup patterns.
  • Both teams' low scoring averages and frequent under 2.5 goal outcomes suggest a tight contest, which explains the draw-heavy probability split.
Predicted winner
Piratas
Betting advice
Double chance : Piratas or draw
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPiratasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence61.0%39.0%
Poisson82.0%18.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total69.3%30.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Piratas

Recent form: DWWLLDWDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Recent form: LLWWLDLWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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