Brazil · Paraense A3

Pinheirense vs Vénus Prediction

Pinheirense badgePinheirense vs Vénus badgeVénus

Match prediction

  • Vénus's superior form, attack, and head-to-head record justify favoring them, though the model splits win and draw probability evenly at 45 percent each.
  • Pinheirense's low 10 percent win probability reflects a draw-heavy profile, with three draws in five matches and only one victory.
  • The recent head-to-head meeting, a 2-1 Vénus win, supports the away side's edge but came by a single goal, tempering confidence in an outright victory.
  • Vénus's perfect head-to-head and goal metrics outweigh their lack of clean sheets, while Pinheirense's solid defence keeps a draw plausible.
  • Pinheirense's attack has produced just one goal per game, limiting their win potential and reinforcing the draw-or-Vénus double chance.
  • The double chance advice is well supported because Vénus's stronger overall profile and Pinheirense's drawing tendency together cover the two most likely outcomes.
Predicted winner
Vénus
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Vénus
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPinheirenseVénus
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total41.2%59.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Pinheirense

Recent form: DDWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Vénus

Recent form: DLWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vénus 2–1 Pinheirense (27 Sep 2026)
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