Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Greece
Pierikos vs Iraklis Larissa Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model output points to a Pierikos win or draw, with the probabilities split evenly at 50% home and 50% draw and no chance assigned to an Iraklis Larissa victory, so the advice is a double chance on Pierikos or the draw. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where the head-to-head split reads 80.00 to 20.00 in Pierikos's favour and the goals and total columns mirror that same 100.00 versus 0.00 and 80.00 versus 20.00 pattern. However, the form, attack, defence and Poisson comparison values are all 0.00 for both sides, which means those particular metrics carry no separating information and should not be read as evidence of parity or of dominance. The team performance and goals analysis sections are effectively empty, since both clubs show zero fixtures played, zero wins, draws and losses, and zero goals for and against, with no minute-band or under-over data populated. The last-five records are therefore the only concrete recent form available, and they cut against the confident double chance: Pierikos lost all five listed matches, conceding three to Veria, two to Alexandreia, four to Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou, and one each to Ermis Exochi and Apollon Pontou while scoring only once. Iraklis Larissa's last five are older, dating to 2023, and mixed rather than uniformly poor, with a win over Panserraikos, a goalless draw with Makedonikos Neapolis, and three defeats including a 4-1 loss to Iraklis 1908. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight to that recent form, showing a 4-0 Pierikos home win over Iraklis Larissa in 2019 and a 0-0 draw in Larissa in 2020, which is a small two-match sample but the only direct evidence of this matchup. Reconciling these strands, the model's 50-50 home-or-draw split appears to lean heavily on the head-to-head and goals comparison while the last-five data, especially Pierikos's five straight defeats, suggests the true uncertainty is wider than a 0% away probability implies. The absence of current-season form, goals and team-analysis data means the prediction rests on a thin and partly stale evidence base, so the double chance should be treated as a model output rather than a strongly supported conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- Pierikos
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Pierikos or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pierikos | Iraklis Larissa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 80.0% | 20.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pierikos
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Iraklis Larissa
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Iraklis Larissa 0–0 Pierikos (12 Jan 2020)
- Pierikos 4–0 Iraklis Larissa (29 Sep 2019)


