Pharco vs Tersana Prediction
Match prediction
- Pharco's stronger recent form and superior attack ratings support the home side, but Tersana's three draws in six matches explain why the model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each.
- The low 10 percent away probability reflects Tersana's winless home record and modest scoring, making the double chance advice more about avoiding defeat than backing a dominant Pharco.
- Identical defensive ratings and both teams averaging under one goal conceded suggest a tight, low-scoring contest that reinforces the draw component of the double chance.
- Pharco's perfect head-to-head record comes from a single 2025 cup meeting, so it strengthens the home lean without being a reliable long-term trend.
- Tersana's tendency to draw, including three stalemates in six league games, is the main threat to a Pharco win and justifies covering the draw.
- Both teams' goal totals stay under 2.5 in every match, indicating a cautious game where the draw carries genuine weight alongside the Pharco win.
- Predicted winner
- Pharco
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Pharco or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Pharco | Tersana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Pharco
Recent form: WWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Tersana
Recent form: WDLDWD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Pharco 3–1 Tersana (03 Jan 2025)