Perugia vs Reggiana Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model points to Reggiana as the winner, with probabilities of 0% home, 50% draw and 50% away, meaning the advice is better read as a lean toward Reggiana rather than a strong outright call. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Reggiana dominates form (76.00 vs 24.00), attack (73.00 vs 27.00), defence (73.00 vs 27.00) and Poisson (80.00 vs 20.00), yet the head-to-head, goals and total splits are all level at 0.00 or near-even, so the aggregate edge is not unanimous. Perugia's team analysis shows a WDWLLL sequence with two wins, one draw and three defeats from six, including a 0-3 home loss and a 3-0 away loss, while failing to score in three of six matches and averaging only 0.80 goals per game. Reggiana's DWWDWW record is unbeaten across six matches with four wins and two draws, no failed-to-score games, and a 2.00 goals-per-game average, which explains why the form and Poisson metrics tilt so heavily away from Perugia. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast: Reggiana concede just 0.80 per game and have never conceded more than one in a match, whereas Perugia concede 1.80 per game and have shipped two or more in four of six. Perugia's last five results (0-2 at Grosseto, 0-3 at home to Spezia, 0-3 at Ravenna, 2-1 at home to Pineto, 2-2 at Vis Pesaro) show three straight defeats before the sequence ends, while Reggiana's last five (1-0 over Latina, 4-1 at Vis Pesaro, 1-1 at Guidonia, 3-1 over Vado, 2-1 at Gubbio) show four wins and a draw with goals spread across the side. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical fixture evidence can either support or undercut the Reggiana lean, and the 50% draw probability is the main qualification on the advice. Overall, the form, attack, defence, Poisson and goals evidence all point the same way, but the small six-match sample and the level head-to-head and goals splits mean the existing prediction should be treated as a directional lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Reggiana

Betting advice

Winner : Reggiana

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.