Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a draw or a PSIS Semarang win, assigning 45% to each of those outcomes and only 10% to a Persiku Kudus victory, which frames the double-chance advice as a cautious hedge rather than a strong away pick. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where PSIS dominate form (80 versus 20), attack (75 versus 25), defence (78 versus 22) and the Poisson estimate (60 versus 40), yet the aggregate totals are far closer at 54.80 against 45.30, suggesting the edge is real but not overwhelming. The head-to-head section pulls in the opposite direction, since Persiku hold an 88 versus 13 advantage there, and the most recent meeting at this same Wergu Wetan Stadium finished 3-3, which helps explain why the draw carries as much weight as an away win. Persiku's own record is thin and troubled: two league games produced one draw and one loss, including a 6-0 away defeat to PSMS Medan, and they have failed to score in one of those matches while conceding seven goals across the sample. PSIS look steadier over the same two-game window with a win and a draw, no defeats, and a 2-1 home victory over PSPS, though their goals-against average of 1.00 shows they are not watertight either. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast, with Persiku averaging just 0.50 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per game, while PSIS average 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, and PSIS have scored in every match whereas Persiku have already been shut out once. Both teams' last-five records extend the pattern: Persiku have lost four of five, including a 6-0 hammering and three further defeats, while PSIS have two wins and two draws alongside a single loss, so the recent-form gap is consistent rather than a one-off. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight, as Persiku won 3-0 at this venue in November 2025 and PSIS won 4-0 at home in September 2025 before the 3-3 draw in April 2026, meaning this fixture has swung violently rather than settled. Overall, the probabilities, comparison metrics, goals data and last-five form all point the same way toward PSIS avoiding defeat, but the small two-game league samples and Persiku's strong head-to-head and home-venue record are exactly why the model stops short of backing an outright away win.

Predicted winner

PSIS Semarang

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or PSIS Semarang

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Persiku Kudus 3–3 PSIS Semarang (11 Apr 2026)
2. Persiku Kudus 3–0 PSIS Semarang (11 Nov 2025)
3. PSIS Semarang 0–4 Persiku Kudus (14 Sep 2025)