Liga 2 · Indonesia
Persikad Depok FC vs Persiraja Banda Aceh Prediction
· Pakansari Stadium
Persikad Depok FC vs
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Final result: Persikad Depok FC 2–1 Persiraja Banda Aceh (Match Finished)
Match prediction
The existing model output favours Persikad Depok FC as the winner, yet its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice is far from a clear-cut call. That tension is partly explained by the comparison metrics, where Persikad's form (100.00), attack (80.00), defence (60.00) and Poisson (73.00) scores all sit above Persiraja's, but the head-to-head split of 0.00 against 100.00 points the other way. The goals comparison reinforces the same conflict, with Persiraja holding a 71.00 to 29.00 advantage even though the total comparison tilts to Persikad at 60.50 versus 39.50. Both teams' performance analysis rests on only two league fixtures each, which makes Persikad's perfect WW record and Persiraja's LL record suggestive but statistically thin. Persikad's goals analysis shows a balanced two goals scored and one conceded per game, with their four goals spread across the 16-30, 46-60 and 76-90 windows, while both goals they conceded arrived in the first half. Persiraja's goals analysis is bleaker, with just one goal in two matches and a 1.50 goals-against average that includes two of their three concessions in the 31-45 window. The last-five records widen the sample and soften the form picture, since Persikad's sequence of W, W, L, W, D includes a 3-1 defeat to Garudayaksa, while Persiraja's L, L, D, D, D shows they were drawing regularly before this season's two losses. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to the home advice, as Persiraja won 3-2 at Pakansari in February 2026 and also won 1-0 there in October 2025, with Persikad's only win in the three meetings coming 1-0 at Harapan Bangsa. Overall, the model's home lean appears to rest on current-season form and Poisson strength, but the equal home and draw probabilities, Persiraja's superior goals and head-to-head numbers, and the very small fixture samples mean the prediction should be treated as uncertain rather than confident.
- Predicted winner
- Persikad Depok FC
- Betting advice
- Winner : Persikad Depok FC
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Persikad Depok FC | Persiraja Banda Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Persikad Depok FC
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Persikad Depok FC 2–3 Persiraja Banda Aceh (28 Feb 2026)
- Persiraja Banda Aceh 1–0 Persikad Depok FC (11 Jan 2026)
- Persikad Depok FC 0–1 Persiraja Banda Aceh (19 Oct 2025)
