Pergolettese vs Trento Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Trento in a double-chance draw-or-away call combined with under 2.5 goals, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to a Trento win against only 10% for Pergolettese. That split is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Trento's form score of 60.00 and attack rating of 88.00 dwarf Pergolettese's 40.00 and 13.00, while the Poisson column is even more lopsided at 100.00 versus 0.00. The defensive side is the main counterweight, since Pergolettese's 67.00 defence rating is roughly double Trento's 33.00, suggesting the home side's resistance is the strongest argument against a comfortable away result. The team records tell a similar story of separation without dominance: Trento are unbeaten in six with three wins and three draws, whereas Pergolettese have one win, three draws and two losses, and both sides have kept four clean sheets. Pergolettese's goals analysis is strikingly thin, with just one goal in six games at 0.20 per match and no over 1.5 or 2.5 totals recorded, which directly supports the under 2.5 component of the advice. Trento's nine goals at 1.50 per match are more substantial, but five of their six matches stayed under 2.5, so their attacking edge has not translated into high-scoring games. The last-five records sharpen this: Pergolettese have scored only once across five matches, a 1-0 win at Novara, with three 0-0 draws and a 0-1 home loss, while Trento's sequence includes a 4-0 home win over PRO Vercelli, a 2-2 draw at Giana Erminio, two 0-0 or 1-0 home results and a 0-1 home defeat. The head-to-head record is genuinely balanced at 50.00 apiece and offers little separation, with ten meetings producing four draws, three Pergolettese wins and three Trento wins, including a 1-2 Trento victory at this same Giuseppe Voltini venue in February 2026 and a 0-0 there in October 2024. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-Trento and low-goals combination through Trento's superior form and attack plus both teams' low-scoring profiles, but the balanced head-to-head and Pergolettese's stronger defence mean the 45% away-win share looks more like a plausible ceiling than a firm expectation.

Predicted winner

Trento

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Trento and -2.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-2.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pergolettese 1–2 Trento (07 Feb 2026)
2. Trento 0–0 Pergolettese (25 Sep 2025)
3. Trento 1–1 Pergolettese (21 Feb 2025)
4. Pergolettese 0–0 Trento (13 Oct 2024)
5. Trento 1–3 Pergolettese (18 Feb 2024)