Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split explains why double chance, not a straight away win, is the advised position.
- Penrhyncoch's nine-match winless run with zero clean sheets supports the low 10% home probability despite home advantage.
- Gresford's 100% recent form is inflated by a single win, since their broader record shows six losses in eight.
- Penrhyncoch's attack scores just 0.40 goals per game while conceding 3.20, reinforcing that they rarely convert pressure into results.
- Gresford's away scoring average of 0.30 goals per game is a genuine weakness that justifies hedging the prediction with a draw.
- Head-to-head favours Gresford at 71%, but Penrhyncoch won the most recent meeting 4-1, tempering confidence in an away victory.
- Predicted winner
- Gresford Athletic
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Gresford Athletic
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Defence | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Poisson | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Penrhyncoch
Recent form: LLLDLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Gresford Athletic
Recent form: LLLLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Penrhyncoch 4–1 Gresford Athletic (11 Apr 2026)
- Gresford Athletic 3–2 Penrhyncoch (10 Jan 2026)
- Gresford Athletic 1–1 Penrhyncoch (26 Oct 2024)
- Penrhyncoch 2–4 Gresford Athletic (17 Aug 2024)
- Gresford Athletic 3–2 Penrhyncoch (15 Apr 2023)