Uruguay · Copa Uruguay

Penarol vs Atletico Torque Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Penarol or draw

Penarol badgePenarol vs Atletico Torque badgeAtletico Torque

Match prediction

  • Penarol's unbeaten three-match form and superior defensive rating support the double-chance advice, though the 45% home probability shows the model sees no clear winner.
  • Atletico Torque's attack rating exceeds Penarol's, yet their away scoring average of zero and failure to score away undercut that threat.
  • The recent 1-1 head-to-head draw and Torque's tendency toward draws this season reinforce the draw leg of the double chance.
  • Penarol's perfect home clean sheet record contrasts with Torque's away defensive vulnerability, favoring the home side without guaranteeing victory.
  • Penarol's missed penalty and modest goal output suggest limited attacking edge, keeping the draw probability as high as the home win.
  • Head-to-head history is mixed with Torque winning several past meetings, so the advice wisely hedges rather than backing Penarol outright.
Predicted winner
Penarol
Betting advice
Double chance : Penarol or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPenarolAtletico Torque
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h93.0%7.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Penarol

Recent form: WDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Atletico Torque

Recent form: LWD.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atletico Torque 1–1 Penarol (01 Oct 2026)
  2. Penarol 1–0 Atletico Torque (27 Aug 2026)
  3. Penarol 3–1 Atletico Torque (08 Feb 2026)
  4. Atletico Torque 0–2 Penarol (09 Nov 2025)
  5. Penarol 2–1 Atletico Torque (18 May 2025)
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