Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its edge, since the home win carries only 10%.
• Peña Sport's stronger recent form and home record conflict with their weak attack, which has produced zero away goals and failed to score twice.
• SD Logroñés remain winless across four matches, so the draw component of the advice is doing meaningful work rather than the away win alone.
• Both sides concede in every match and neither keeps clean sheets, supporting a tight, low-margin contest consistent with the draw-or-away cover.
• The lone head-to-head meeting favors SD Logroñés, but its 2021 friendly status makes it weak corroboration for the current prediction.
• Peña Sport's away defeats include a 4-0 loss, showing vulnerability that offsets their superior form and keeps the away side live.

Predicted winner

SD Logroñés

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or SD Logroñés

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Peña Sport 0–2 SD Logroñés (31 Jul 2021)