Pelhřimov vs Kuřim Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Kuřim a double-chance edge of draw or away at 45% each, leaving Pelhřimov as a 10% home winner, so the advice rests on a narrow preference rather than a decisive gap. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Kuřim leads form 59 to 41, head-to-head 80 to 20, and goals 82 to 18, yet Pelhřimov counters with a 54 to 46 attack rating and a 46 to 54 defensive rating, while the Poisson split of 83 to 17 is the one strong signal pointing the other way. The team analysis shows why the overall picture is mixed: Pelhřimov's 3-2-2 record includes two home clean sheets and no home failure to score, whereas Kuřim's 4-1-2 record is built on a 3-0-1 home mark with an 8-1 win but only one clean sheet all season. Pelhřimov's goals analysis is notably two-sided, with 2.30 goals scored per game but just 0.70 conceded at home against 1.80 conceded away, so their defensive solidity appears venue-dependent. Kuřim's numbers are similarly split, averaging 4.00 goals scored at home but only 1.30 away, and conceding 0.80 at home versus 2.00 on the road, which suggests their away form is the weaker half of their profile. The last-five records qualify both sides: Pelhřimov have won three of five with two defeats, including a 5-1 away win and a 5-0 home win but also a 0-2 loss and a 1-2 home defeat, while Kuřim have three wins, one draw and one loss, featuring a 6-1 home win and a 3-1 away win but a 0-3 away defeat. The head-to-head record is the clearest single piece of evidence for the advice, since Kuřim won the most recent meeting 8-1 at home and the earlier fixture finished 1-1, giving Kuřim an 80 to 20 edge and no defeat in this sample. Taken together, the head-to-head and form metrics support the draw-or-Kuřim advice, but the Poisson and attack ratings pull toward Pelhřimov, and the small two-match head-to-head sample plus Kuřim's weaker away scoring and defence mean the double chance should be treated as a modest lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Kuřim

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Kuřim

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Kuřim 8–1 Pelhřimov (23 May 2026)
2. Pelhřimov 1–1 Kuřim (19 Oct 2025)