Pedreira vs Tesla Prediction

Match prediction

• Tesla's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities leave only a 10% home chance, directly supporting the draw-or-Tesla double chance.
• Tesla's recent 4-1 win over Pedreira and 80% head-to-head edge reinforce the away-favoured model output.
• Pedreira's superior form and attack ratings conflict with the model, but their 31% Poisson share and weak defence limit that counterweight.
• Both teams average roughly two goals per game, so the draw component of the advice carries genuine weight rather than serving as filler.
• Tesla's unbeaten away record and two clean sheets away suggest defensive reliability that supports avoiding a Pedreira win.
• Pedreira's failure to keep any home clean sheet and 1.50 goals-against average make a home victory unlikely despite their form.

Predicted winner

Tesla

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Tesla

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tesla 4–1 Pedreira (28 Sep 2026)
2. Tesla 1–1 Pedreira (17 Jun 2024)