Hungary · NB III - Southwest

Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC Prediction

Pécsi MFC badgePécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC badgeBudafoki LC

Match prediction

  • Pécsi MFC's unbeaten nine-match form, including eight wins and six clean sheets, underpins the home-or-draw advice despite only a narrow probability edge.
  • The model's 35-35-35 split shows home and draw carry equal weight, so the double chance reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
  • Pécsi's defensive score of 75 against Budafoki's 25 is the strongest single separator, supporting the view that the hosts are hard to beat.
  • Budafoki's superior head-to-head and goals records conflict with Pécsi's current form, which explains why the away probability remains a competitive 30 percent.
  • Pécsi's perfect home defensive record of zero goals conceded in four matches strengthens the case for avoiding an away win.
  • Budafoki's recent loss and mixed away form slightly weaken their threat, though their head-to-head edge keeps the draw component meaningful.
Predicted winner
Pécsi MFC
Betting advice
Double chance : Pécsi MFC or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorPécsi MFCBudafoki LC
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals30.0%70.0%
Total49.4%50.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Pécsi MFC

Recent form: WWWWWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 3.10 per match.

Budafoki LC

Recent form: LWWDWWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Budafoki LC 2–0 Pécsi MFC (19 May 2024)
  2. Pécsi MFC 1–0 Budafoki LC (26 Nov 2023)
  3. Pécsi MFC 0–1 Budafoki LC (29 Jan 2023)
  4. Budafoki LC 2–2 Pécsi MFC (07 Aug 2022)
  5. Budafoki LC 2–0 Pécsi MFC (06 Apr 2022)
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